ESP MS Student Peter Jacobs Co-authors ERL’s “Best article of 2013”
Peter Jacobs, an MS student in the ESP department was part of a team of authors who wrote a paper that was chosen as the “Best Article in 2013” by members of the Environmental Research Letters (ERL) Editorial Board. The paper presents evidence that man is indeed causing climate change.
The team, from the University of Queensland, Australia, Skeptical Science, the University of Reading, UK, Tetra Tech, Michigan Technological University, George Mason University, all in the US, and the University of Ottowa, Canada, reported their work in Environmental Research Letters (ERL). It was also featured in ERL’s Highlights of 2013.
John Cook, Dana Nuccitelli, Sarah A Green, Mark Richardson, Bärbel Winkler, Rob Painting, Robert Way, Peter Jacobs and Andrew Skuce. 2013. Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature. Environ. Res. Lett. 8 024024
We analyze the evolution of the scientific consensus on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer-reviewed scientific literature, examining 11 944 climate abstracts from 1991–2011 matching the topics ‘global climate change’ or ‘global warming’. We find that 66.4% of abstracts expressed no position on AGW, 32.6% endorsed AGW, 0.7% rejected AGW and 0.3% were uncertain about the cause of global warming. Among abstracts expressing a position on AGW, 97.1% endorsed the consensus position that humans are causing global warming. In a second phase of this study, we invited authors to rate their own papers. Compared to abstract ratings, a smaller percentage of self-rated papers expressed no position on AGW (35.5%). Among self-rated papers expressing a position on AGW, 97.2% endorsed the consensus. For both abstract ratings and authors’ self-ratings, the percentage of endorsements among papers expressing a position on AGW marginally increased over time. Our analysis indicates that the number of papers rejecting the consensus on AGW is a vanishingly small proportion of the published research.